Concern over implications of climate change for biodiversity has led to the use of bioclimatic
models to forecast the range shifts of species under future climate-change scenarios. Recent …

BACKGROUND The success of human societies depends intimately on the living
components of natural and managed systems. Although the geographical range limits of …

Quantitative scenarios are coming of age as a tool for evaluating the impact of future
socioeconomic development pathways on biodiversity and ecosystem services. We analyze …

This book provides a first synthetic view of an emerging area of ecology and biogeography,
linking individual-and population-level processes to geographic distributions and …

Climate change has already triggered species distribution shifts in many parts of the world.
Increasing impacts are expected for the future, yet few studies have aimed for a general …

BIOMOD is a computer platform for ensemble forecasting of species distributions, enabling
the treatment of a range of methodological uncertainties in models and the examination of …

Species distribution modelling is central to both fundamental and applied research in
biogeography. Despite widespread use of models, there are still important conceptual …

Global change will alter the supply of ecosystem services that are vital for human well-being.
To investigate ecosystem service supply during the 21st century, we used a range of …

Increasing concern over the implications of climate change for biodiversity has led to the use
of species–climate envelope models to project species extinction risk under climate‐change …

There is general agreement among scientists that biodiversity is under assault on a global
basis and that species are being lost at a greatly enhanced rate. This article examines the …