Age-period-cohort analysis of motor vehicle mortality in Taiwan, 1974–1992

doi:10.1016/0001-4575(96)00034-6

Accident Analysis & Prevention

Volume 28, Issue 5, September 1996, Pages 619-626

https://doi.org/10.1016/0001-4575(96)00034-6 Get rights and content

Abstract

The aim of this study was to examine the effects of age, calendar period of death and birth cohort in motor vehicle mortality in Taiwan over the period 1974–1992. A log-linear model modified from the method of Osmond and Gardner (Stat. Med. 1: 245–259; 1982) was used. Age turned out to be a significant predictor of motor vehicle mortality. The most risky group (over 70 years) had 27.1 and 16.3 times the mortality of the least risky group (5–9 years, 10–14 years) for males and females respectively. The period effect showed a continuously increasing mortality trend since 1974 in females. The pattern in males is similar except that it has slightly leveled off in recent years. The birth cohorts at the highest risk of motor vehicle death were those born between 1979 and 1983 for both sexes. However, males born between 1929 and 1933 also had a high mortality. This analysis provided a better understanding of the trend of mortality from motor vehicle crashes.

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PaperAge-period-cohort analysis of motor vehicle mortality in Taiwan, 1974–1992

Abstract

J. Clin. Neurosci.

Accid. Anal. Prev.

J. Chron. Dis.

Injury

Lancet

The incidence of injuries in young people: I. Methodology and results of a collaborative study in Brazil, Chile, Cuba and Venezuela

Int. J. Epidemiol.

The mortality rate, years of potential life lost and its monetary value of death caused by motor vehicle accidents

J. Natl. Public Health Assoc. (ROC)

The motorcycle helmet law in Taiwan

JAMA

Models for temporal variation in cancer rates, II: age-period-cohort models

Stat. Med.

Health Statistics 1974–1992, 1994

Monthly Statistics of Transportation and Communications, Republic of China, Jan 1994

Head injuries in traffic accidents with emphasis on the comparisons between motorcycle-helmet users and non users

Chinese J. Formos. Med. Assoc.

Epidemiologic analysis of 845 cases of pedestrian traffic injuries

Chin. Med. J. (Taipei)

Risk of fatality from physical trauma versus sex and age

J. Trauma

How safe were today's older drivers when they were younger?

Am. J. Epidemiol.

The age selection of mortality from tuberculosis in successive decades

Am. J. Hyg. Soc. A.

Paper
Age-period-cohort analysis of motor vehicle mortality in Taiwan, 1974–1992