Table 3

Rate ratios* of any crash, hospitalised crash or death and single vehicle crash during 2007–2016 by type of driving offence 2003–2006



M1 demographics and driving exposureM5 fully adjusted
RR (95% CI)RR (95% CI)
Any crashAny offenceOne1.34 (1.22 to 1.48)1.35 (1.22 to 1.49)
Two1.48 (1.30 to 1.69)1.50 (1.31 to 1.71)
Three or more2.22 (1.96 to 2.52)2.25 (1.98 to 2.57)
Reckless driving†One or more1.35 (1.18 to 1.56)1.35 (1.17 to 1.56)
Speeding†One1.24 (1.12 to 1.36)1.24 (1.13 to 1.37)
Two or more1.57 (1.37 to 1.81)1.59 (1.38 to 1.83)
Low speeding offence†One or more1.06 (0.95 to 1.19)1.07 (0.95 to 1.20)
Other offences†One or more1.42 (1.27 to 1.60)1.43 (1.28 to 1.61)
Hospitalised crash or deathAny offenceOne1.52 (0.99 to 2.34)1.52 (0.97 to 2.36)
Two1.75 (0.98 to 3.11)1.76 (0.98 to 3.18)
Three or more2.83 (1.58 to 5.05)2.87 (1.60 to 5.17)
Reckless driving†One or more3.00 (1.81 to 4.95)3.00 (1.83 to 4.92)
Speeding†One1.07 (0.67 to 1.72)1.09 (0.68 to 1.74)
Two or more1.43 (0.75 to 2.71)1.47 (0.77 to 2.79)
Low speeding offence†One or more1.34 (0.82 to 2.18)1.33 (0.82 to 2.16)
Other offences†One or more1.71 (1.01 to 2.89)1.77 (1.06 to 2.96)
Single vehicle crashAny offenceOne1.59 (1.17 to 2.17)1.62 (1.18 to 2.23)
Two1.94 (1.32 to 2.86)2.03 (1.36 to 3.01)
Three or more3.16 (2.22 to 4.52)3.28 (2.28 to 4.72)
Reckless driving†One or more1.32 (0.88 to 1.99)1.32 (0.88 to 1.99)
Speeding†One1.39 (1.03 to 1.86)1.42 (1.05 to 1.92)
Two or more1.86 (1.26 to 2.74)1.92 (1.29 to 2.85)
Low speeding offence†One or more1.04 (0.74 to 1.46)1.05 (0.75 to 1.48)
Other offences†One or more1.90 (1.37 to 2.64)1.90 (1.36 to 2.66)
  • M1: age, sex, socioeconomic status of area of residence (Socio-economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA)), remoteness of area of residence and average driving per week.

  • M5: age, sex, socioeconomic status of area of residence (SEIFA), remoteness of area of residence, average driving per week, cannabis smoking, alcohol consumption, drug use and self-harm, risk perception score, risky driving score, sensation seeking score, self-rated driving ability, number of attempts on driver test, crash before start of follow-up not related to driving offence, lessons with professional driving instructor and time on learner licence.

  • *Model adjusted for.

  • †Adjusted for all other driving offences (calculated as number of any offence minus offence under investigation).