Table 3

Estimated Safe Streets programme effects: per cent change, range of per cent change in control posts in placebo tests and proportion of control posts with better outcomes in placebo tests than Safe Streets posts

Estimated programme effect per cent changeRange of per cent change in control postsProportion of control posts with better outcomes
McElderry Park
 Homicides−30.8(−56.1, +85.5)0.11
 Non-fatal shootings+25.6(−64.5, +66.1)0.78
Madison-Eastend
 Homicides+69.0(−100.0, +229.3)0.89
 Non-fatal shootings+152.6(−96.4, +152.6)1.00
Elwood Park
 Homicides+112.2(−83.2, +155.4)0.97
 Non-fatal shootings+13.4(−91.4, +208.4)0.66
Cherry Hill
 Homicides−21.0(−50.1, +89.1)0.17
 Non-fatal shootings+10.7(−61.2, +97.9)0.59
Lower Park Heights
 Homicides−21.1(−66.4, +99.4)0.22
 Non-fatal shootings−19.3(−73.8, +127.1)0.28
Mondawmin
 Homicides+75.9(−69.7, +129.6)0.98
 Non-fatal shootings+27.0(−54.6, +103.7)0.73
Sandtown-Winchester
 Homicides−8.6(−84.3, +125.3)0.44
 Non-fatal shootings+15.4(−81.7, +251.5)0.67