Parameter | Baseline estimate | Low | High | Source |
Probability of a collision/injury/death at 5 mph | 0.00029/0.01/0.01 | Probability of a collision: Aarts and van Schagen20 | ||
Probability of a collision/injury/death at 10 mph | 0.00038/0.05/0.02 | Probability of injury/death: Richter et al 21 | ||
Probability of a collision/injury/death at 15 mph | 0.00049/0.27/0.05 | |||
Probability of a collision/injury/death at 20 mph | 0.00063/0.46/0.125 | |||
Probability of a collision/injury/death at 25 mph | 0.00082/0.65/0.2 | |||
Probability of a collision/injury/death at 30 mph | 0.00106/0.9/0.5 | |||
Probability of a collision/injury/death at 35 mph | 0.00137/0.95/0.8 | |||
Probability of a collision/injury/death at 40 mph | 0.00175/0.99/0.95 | |||
Cost of death (burial costs only) | $7181 | $0 | $22 181 | NFDA (2016)26 |
Cost of injury | $56 775 | $52 298 | $133 735 | CDC (2015)24 |
Annual burden of injury (QALY) | −0.45 | −0.36 | −0.54 | Muennig et al (2014)34 |
Age at injury (years) | 35 | 4 | 100 | |
Average life expectancy (years) | 78 | Murphy et al (2013)32 | ||
Discount rate | 3% | Weinstein et al (1996)28 |
QALY, quality-adjusted life year.