Article Text

Download PDFPDF
117 Predictors of prehospital mortality in patients with major trauma in New Zealand
  1. Luisa Montoya1,
  2. Gabrielle Davie2,
  3. Bridget Kool3,
  4. Bridget Dicker4,5
  1. 1PhD Candidate, School of Population Health, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
  2. 2Associate Professor, Department of Preventive and Social Medicine, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand
  3. 3Professor, School of Population Health, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
  4. 4Head of Clinical Audit and Research, St John, Auckland, New Zealand
  5. 5Adjunct Professor, Department of Paramedicine, School of Clinical Sciences, Auckland University of Technology, Auckland, New Zealand


Background Major trauma is a significant contributor to morbidity and mortality. The provision of optimal prehospital Emergency Medical Services (EMS) care and timely transfer to advanced-level hospital care are vital to increase the likelihood of survival of following major trauma. The aim of this study was to identify the factors that predict prehospital mortality in New Zealand (NZ) in these patients.

Methods Retrospectively designed prospective cohort study analysing routinely collected data. Individuals of any age attended by an EMS provider in NZ immediately following major trauma between 1 December 2016 and 30 November 2018 were included. Factors predictive of prehospital mortality were explored using modified Poisson regression. Models included patient sociodemographic, triage, injury mechanism, Injury Severity Score (ISS) and geographical location of injury.

Results 3,334 patients met the eligibility criteria, of which 105 (3.1%) died prehospital. Univariate analysis indicated that Māori ethnicity (RR=1.9; 95%IC: 1.2–3.0) and ISS greater than 24 (RR=16.8; 95%IC: 9.2–30.8) were predictive of prehospital mortality. Multivariable analysis indicated the factors predictive of increased prehospital mortality risks were motor vehicle-related (MV) injury relative to non-MV injury (ARR=4.0; 95%CI: 1.1–14.4) and an ISS greater than 24 relative to those with ISS≤24 (ARR=13.3; 95%CI: 7.2–24.6).

Conclusion Univariate and multivariate analysis showed that high ISS values are strongly predictive of increased prehospital mortality risk.

Learning Outcomes Findings reinforce the need for continued primary prevention efforts and the rapid EMS assessment and management of those with severe injuries in the prehospital setting.

Statistics from

Request Permissions

If you wish to reuse any or all of this article please use the link below which will take you to the Copyright Clearance Center’s RightsLink service. You will be able to get a quick price and instant permission to reuse the content in many different ways.