Table 4

Piecewise linear regression models with mortality rate in 434 Norwegian municipalities as dependent variable and population density and travel time to hospital care in minutes as predictors

Univariate modelsMultiple model 4
Explanatory variableEstimate (95% CI)p ValueAICRadj2Estimate (95% CI)p ValueAICRadj2
log (population density)3402.20.2423397.10.252
Breakpoint0.81 (0.17 to 1.44)0.79 (0.08 to 1.51)
Below break−13.9 (−23.5 to −4.32)0.005−12.3 (−21.8 to −2.7)0.012
Above break−2.02 (−2.45 to −1.59)<0.001−1.77 (−2.33 to −1.20)<0.001
log(travel time)3448.40.157
Breakpoint2.32 (2.05 to 2.59)2.37 (1.93 to 2.80)
Below break−5.45 (−10.5 to −0.37)0.036−4.82 (−9.61 to −0.03)0.054
Above break5.80 (4.12 to 7.49)<0.0012.14 (0.28 to 4.01)0.024
  • Weighted by municipality population.

  • AIC, Akaike's information criterion.