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Smoke alarms, fire deaths, and randomised controlled trials
  1. Ian Roberts, Director,
  2. Carolyn Diguiseppi, Senior Research Fellow
  1. Child Health Monitoring Unit, Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Institute of Child Health, 30 Guilford Street, London WC1N 1EH, UK (e-mail: Ian.Roberts{at}ich.ucl.ac.uk)

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    Each year about 300 000 people die in fires.1 Most of these deaths occur in the home and children and the elderly are at greatest risk.1 The absence of a smoke alarm is a strong risk factor for death in the event of a house fire.2 In some countries, there has been a substantial increase in the proportion of households with smoke alarms over the past two decades. In England and Wales, the proportion of homes with alarms increased from 0% in 1985 to 75% in 1995. This increase in alarms coincided with a substantial fall in fire deaths, although a number of factors apart from smoke alarms might have been responsible for the decline.3 Despite the overall increase in smoke alarm use, ownership is substantially lower (less than 50%) in disadvantaged inner city neighbourhoods and among families living in rented accommodation.4 Because the risk of fire and fire related injury is greater in rented and inner city accommodation,5, 6 increasing the prevalence of functioning smoke alarms in these homes may have a disproportionate effect on the occurrence of fire deaths and injuries. This would also have the potential to reduce socioeconomic differentials in mortality. The social class gradient for deaths due to residential fires is steeper than for any other cause of death in childhood. The death rate from fire and flames for children in social class V is 16 times that of children in social class I.7 A non-randomised controlled trial reported a substantial reduction in fire related injuries associated with a programme to giveaway smoke alarms in a materially deprived area of Oklahoma City.8

    Two papers in this journal have addressed the problem of increasing smoke alarm use. DiGuiseppi et al reported a smoke alarm giveaway programme conducted in two deprived inner London boroughs.9 Over 20 000 smoke alarms were distributed door to door in randomly selected wards by a coalition of statutory and voluntary agencies. The effectiveness and cost effectiveness of the programme in preventing fires and fire related injury is being evaluated in a randomised controlled trial. A paper in this issue by the ISCAIP Smoke Detector Legislation Collaborators addresses a second strategy for increasing smoke alarm installation, summarising smokes alarm laws internationally (254). Many countries have enacted comprehensive smoke alarm laws. One controlled observational study found an association between residential smoke alarm legislation and a reduced likelihood of fire death, but the effectiveness and cost effectiveness of smoke alarm legislation in preventing fire deaths and injuries has yet to be adequately evaluated.

    Smoke alarms are relatively inexpensive, but to install alarms in all inner city homes and to ensure compliance with any legislation would have important resource implications. If this had little or no effect on the prevention of fire deaths and injuries, then such a policy would incur an important opportunity cost. But is a scenario plausible where the costs of increasing smoke alarm ownership outweigh the benefits, given the evidence of benefit from ecological,3 case-control2 and non-randomised intervention studies8? The answer must surely be yes. Results from ecological studies do not constitute reliable evidence of the effectiveness of smoke alarm interventions. Confounding by factors related to poverty might easily account for the strong association observed in case-control studies, because poverty is a strong risk factor for fire death and poor families are least likely to have smoke alarms. Similarly, the 80% reduction in serious fire related injuries seen during the four years after the Oklahoma City giveaway programme must also be considered with caution.8 It is well established that non-randomised studies can overestimate the effectiveness of interventions when compared with results from randomised controlled trials.10

    Neither giving away free smoke alarms nor enacting legislation requiring alarm installation in materially deprived areas will necessarily increase the prevalence of functioning alarms. A survey of inner London public housing found that only half of installed smoke alarms were functioning.11 In most cases of non-function, the installed alarms had no batteries. Tenants may remove batteries because of nuisance alarms during cooking and smoking. Such nuisance alarms may be particularly problematic among families living in bed-sit accommodation and in overcrowded conditions. However, failure to maintain a functioning smoke alarm does not signal a feckless disregard for safety. Although residential fires are a leading cause of death in childhood, for families living in the inner city slums there are many competing concerns. One inner London health authority asked residents about their concerns for health and safety in the context of an urban regeneration programme.12 Discarded syringes from heroin use and used condoms from prostitution were the main fears, and the residents called foremost for improved refuse collection. Given these concerns—and the daily privations of squalid inner city housing, such as broken windows, urine in the stairwells, lifts that do not work, racist graffiti, and violence—it is not hard to understand why smoke alarms are not top on the list of priorities. Clearly, without reliable evidence of effectiveness and cost effectiveness, smoke alarm giveaway programmes or legislation run the risk of diverting scarce resources from other important concerns that may have greater benefit to the population.

    Randomised controlled trials are the gold standard for the evaluation of healthcare interventions. There is no good reason why interventions to prevent fire injury should not be evaluated in the same way. Smoke alarms are only one approach to the prevention of fire deaths and injuries, but a particularly promising one. Some countries and states mandate the use of smoke alarms, others do not. On the basis of the existing evidence it is easy to make an argument for smoke alarm legislation, but it is also an easy argument to refute. Reliable evidence from large scale randomised controlled trials of smoke alarm interventions could change this. The Salk vaccine trial reliably established the effectiveness of polio vaccine and laid the foundations for the current efforts to eradicate polio.13 Our aspirations for injury prevention should be no less.

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