Pedestrian crashes: higher injury severity and mortality rate for light truck vehicles compared with passenger vehicles
- 1Harborview Injury Prevention and Research Center, Seattle, Washington
- 2Center for Applied Biomechanics, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia
- Correspondence to: Dr Bahman S Roudsari Harborview Injury Prevention and Research Center, 325 9th Ave, Seattle, WA 98104-2499, USA;
Introduction: During the last two decades changes in vehicle design and increase in the number of the light truck vehicles (LTVs) and vans have led to changes in pedestrian injury profile. Due to the dynamic nature of the pedestrian crashes biomechanical aspects of collisions can be better evaluated in field studies.
Design and settings: The Pedestrian Crash Data Study, conducted from 1994 to 1998, provided a solid database upon which details and mechanism of pedestrian crashes can be investigated.
Results: From 552 recorded cases in this database, 542 patients had complete injury related information, making a meaningful study of pedestrian crash characteristics possible. Pedestrians struck by LTVs had a higher risk (29%) of severe injuries (abbreviated injury scale ⩾4) compared with passenger vehicles (18%) (p = 0.02). After adjustment for pedestrian age and impact speed, LTVs were associated with 3.0 times higher risk of severe injuries (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.26 to 7.29, p = 0.013). Mortality rate for pedestrians struck by LTVs (25%) was two times higher than that for passenger vehicles (12%) (p<0.001). Risk of death for LTV crashes after adjustment for pedestrian age and impact speed was 3.4 times higher than that for passenger vehicles (95% CI 1.45 to 7.81, p = 0.005).
Conclusion: Vehicle type strongly influences risk of severe injury and death to pedestrian. This may be due in part to the front end design of the vehicle. Hence vehicle front end design, especially for LTVs, should be considered in future motor vehicle safety standards.
- AIS, abbreviated injury scale
- CI, confidence interval
- ISS, injury severity score
- LTV, light truck vehicle
- NHTSA, National Highway Traffic Safety Administration
- PCDS, Pedestrian Crash Data Study
Changes in vehicle design and composition of the vehicle fleet during the past two decades have resulted in changes in injury profile among pedestrians.1–4 In particular, increased numbers of light truck vehicles (LTVs) have introduced new challenges for pedestrian safety. This is true in much of Europe and Japan, as well as in some developing countries. However, it is especially a problem in the United States, where two thirds of all LTVs are sold.5
Although pedestrian injuries have decreased during the recent years, they remain a major health problem, accounting for 13% of traffic fatalities in the United States.6 In Europe, over 6000 pedestrian deaths per year occur.7 In Japan, pedestrian deaths have remained at around 2500 per year, comprising 27%–32% of traffic deaths.8 In efforts to improve upon this continued toll, the European Experimental Vehicles Committee Working Group 17, National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA), the International Organization of Standardization, and the International Harmonization Research Activities pedestrian safety group have proposed a series of crash tests that evaluate a vehicle’s safety for the pedestrians.6,9–11
Experimental tests with cadavers and dummies can answer many questions regarding pedestrian collisions. However, due to the dynamic nature of the crash, many important biomechanical aspects, such as vehicle-pedestrian interaction, cannot be evaluated in such experimental studies. In order to better understand how pedestrian injuries are influenced by changes in vehicle design, in depth studies of real world crashes are necessary. To evaluate the impact of the aforementioned changes on the characteristics of pedestrian injuries, we used data from the Pedestrian Crash Data Study (PCDS), conducted by NHTSA from 1994 to 1998.2,3 We evaluated the hypothesis that the risk of severe injury and death is higher for pedestrians hit by LTVs or vans compared with those struck by passenger vehicles.
From 1994 to 1998, 552 pedestrian injuries were recorded in the PCDS in six cities: Buffalo, Chicago, Dallas, Fort Lauderdale, San Antonio, and Seattle. The sites were selected based on the availability of applicable pedestrian crashes.12 Complete methodology of the study has been previously reported.1,2 A brief summary of the methodology is given here.
A pedestrian was defined as any person who was on a traffic way or on a sidewalk or path contiguous with a traffic way or on private property. Persons in or on a non-motorist conveyance, such as bicycle or horseback, were excluded from this study.12 Each crash should have met certain other criteria. First the vehicle had to be moving forward and the pedestrian should not have been lying or sitting at the time of the crash. Second, only passenger vehicles, light trucks, and vans made after 1990 were included. Some special old models of vehicles like Ford Taurus (1988–89) that had front design similar to newer vehicles were also eligible. Third, the striking portion of the vehicle should have been forward of the A pillar, with original manufactured parts and without modification or any previous damage. Finally, the pedestrian impacts should have been the vehicle’s only impacts.
After notification of a pedestrian crash, principally by police radio, the research team went to the scene of the crash. After determining the general conformity of the crash to the previously mentioned criteria, the data gathering process was started at the scene. If a pedestrian, or an individual familiar with the crash event in the case of a mortality, could not be located or interviewed, or if the vehicle damage measurements could not be obtained within 24 hours of the crash, the case was dropped from the study.
From 144 variables regarding crash, vehicle, and pedestrian characteristics recorded in PCDS, we used the following: pedestrian age and sex, class of vehicle, initial point of impact, impact speed, abbreviated injury scale (AIS),13 pattern of injury, vehicle curb weight, and outcome. Injury severity score (ISS) was calculated from AIS.
Since children have reached more than 90% of their adult height by age 14, we used this age as the cut off for adults compared to children.14,15 Vehicles were categorized as passenger vehicles, vans, and LTVs. LTVs included compact and large utility vehicles (⩽4500 kg) and light conventional trucks (⩽4500 kg). Vans comprised both mini-vans and full size vans (⩽4500 kg).12 Site of principal injury was defined as the body region with the highest AIS score. In those cases with the same AIS score in different body regions, the following priority was used for defining the site of the principal injury: head-neck-face>thorax>abdomen>spine>lower extremity>upper extremity.16,17
Student’s t test was used to compare continuous variables and χ2 was used for categorical variables. When appropriate, logistic regression was used to adjust for age and impact speed.18
From 552 recorded cases, no injury was reported in nine cases and in one case the number and severity of the injury were not recorded. These cases were excluded from analysis. From 542 cases available for analysis, 82% of all injuries were caused by frontal collisions. Ten percent of the pedestrians were hit by the right and 8% by the left side of the vehicle. Sixty nine percent of the collisions were related to passenger vehicles, 18% to LTVs, and 13% to vans.
Injury severity score
Adults struck by LTVs had a higher risk of moderate injury (ISS ⩾9) (56%) than those struck by either passenger vehicles (44%) or vans (33%) (p = 0.023) (table 1). In children, the small sample size precluded firm conclusions regarding effects of vehicle class on injury severity. Risk of moderate injury for children was 50% for vans, 28% for passenger vehicles, and 19% for LTVs (p = 0.18). Similar patterns were observed when ISS ⩾15 was used as the cut off for severe injury for adults (p = 0.021) and children (p = 0.14).
Abbreviated injury scale
As presented in table 2, considering maximum AIS ⩾4 as the level of the severe injuries, adult pedestrians struck by LTVs had a higher risk of severe injury (33%) than those struck by either passenger vehicles (21%) or vans (22%) (p = 0.074). Again, small sample size in children made the interpretation of the results difficult. Nine percent of the children in passenger vehicle crashes (eight children), 6% in LTV crashes (one child), and 17% of children struck by vans (two cases) had severe injuries (p = 0.637). Analysis using maximum AIS ⩾3 as a cut off showed similar results for adults (p = 0.02) and children (p = 0.217).
Site of principal injury
Head-neck-face was the major injured body region in 42% of the patients. Lower extremities (35%), thorax (7%), upper extremity (7%), spine (7%), and abdomen (2%) were ranked as the second to sixth. The distribution of the site of principal injury for children and adults is presented figs 1 and 2.
Frequency of head-neck-face injuries in children varied slightly by vehicle type: 51% for passenger vehicles, 44% for LTVs, and 17% for van crashes (p = 0.078). Lower extremity injuries, the second most common injury, occurred with different frequency depending on the vehicle type: 30% of passenger vehicles, 44% of LTVs, and 67% of van crashes (p = 0.038). In adults there was no difference among LTVs, vans, and passenger vehicles in pattern of injury (p = 0.794).
As depicted in table 3, mortality rate was higher for LTVs (25%) compared with passenger vehicles (12%) or vans (6%) (p<0.001). This was principally because of the higher rate of mortality among adults struck by LTVs. Furthermore, in all classes of vehicles, adults had higher mortality rate than children. Again small sample size has made generalization to the overall pediatric population difficult.
Potentially confounding variables
Patients in the LTV group had higher mean (SD) age (39 (24) years) than those in the passenger vehicle (33 (22) years) and van (36 (21) years) groups (p = 0.039).
Mean (SD) impact speed was higher for LTVs (30 (24) km/h) and passenger vehicles (29 (20) km/h) than vans (22 (16) km/h) (p = 0.025). Distribution of the male sex was not different for passenger vehicles (53% female), LTVs (53%), and vans (47%) (p = 0.618).
To have a realistic estimate of the effect of the vehicle type on the severity of the injury and mortality rate, multivariate analysis was used to adjust for potentially confounding variables, including impact speed and age. As sex of the pedestrians was equally distributed among different classes of vehicle we did not consider it as a potentially confounding variable.
Table 4 presents the odds ratio for ISS ⩾9 for LTVs and vans in comparison to passenger vehicles, after adjustment for impact speed and age, as ordinal variables. The odds of ISS ⩾9 for LTVs was 1.8 (p = 0.051) and for vans was 1.5 (p = 0.241). Considering impact speed and age as continuous variables in the model, decreased the odds of ISS ⩾9 for LTVs to 1.5 (p = 0.211) and for vans to 1.4 (p = 0.341).
Similar analysis using ISS ⩾15 as the level of the severe injury showed that pedestrians struck by LTVs were 2.1 times more at risk of severe injury (p = 0.021). The odds of severe injury (ISS ⩾15) for vans was 1.6 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.76 to 3.57, p = 0.207).
Table 5 presents the odds ratio for maximum AIS ⩾4 for LTVs and vans compared to passenger vehicles and after adjustment for impact speed and age, as ordinal variables. The odds of maximum AIS ⩾4 for LTVs was 2.98 (p = 0.004) and for vans was 3.0 (p = 0.013). Considering age and impact speed as continuous variables in the regression model, the odds ratio of maximum AIS ⩾4 for LTVs decreased to 2.1 (p = 0.055) and for vans increased to 3.2 (p = 0.009).
Similar analysis using maximum AIS ⩾3 as the level of the severe injuries showed that the odds ratio of severe injuries for LTVs was 1.92 (p = 0.035) and for vans 1.26 (p = 0.526).
As mentioned before, crash mortality rate was the major outcome variable in this study. As shown in table 6 and after adjustment for age and impact speed as ordinal variables, the risk of death for LTVs was 3.4 (95% CI 1.45 to 7.81). Our data did not show any considerable difference in risk of death between van-involved collisions and passenger vehicle-pedestrian crashes (odds ratio 0.57, p = 0.42). Larger sample size was needed to detect small differences in risk of death between van and passenger vehicle-involved collisions, if such a difference really existed. The increased mortality associated with LTVs did not change materially when different statistical models were used, including models in which age and impact speed were formatted as continuous or ordinal variables.
No significant change in the major results of this study was observed when the van group was restricted to mini-vans only (data not shown).
In spite of the importance of vehicle curb weight in vehicle-vehicle collisions, curb weight is generally not considered a determinant of injury severity in vehicle-pedestrian crashes due to the overwhelming discrepancy in the masses of the pedestrians compared with almost any vehicle. However as this issue has been raised in few other studies,19,20 we performed a supplemental analysis adding curb weight to the final model. After adjustment for curb weight, pedestrian age and impact speed, the odds ratio for risk of death for pedestrians struck by LTVs increased to 4.0 (95% CI 1.45 to 11.05, p = 0.007), while changes in the curb weight itself was not associated with a significant change in the risk of death (odds ratio 0.996, p = 0.54).
In LTV-passenger vehicle crashes, passenger vehicle passengers suffer more severe injuries in the head, neck, and thorax. This has been attributed to the larger mass and higher bumper height of LTVs.21 Similar studies in pedestrian crashes are scarce and most data are from dummy and cadaver studies. The interpretability of these studies has been limited by their inability to account for the dynamic nature of pedestrian crashes. Thus data from real world crashes are needed.
There are two major sources for data on real world pedestrian crashes. Police reports usually detail information about the time and place of the collision, type of vehicle, and major outcome, such as death. Hospital records mainly include information about medical condition and treatment. Neither of these two data sources routinely describes the probable mechanism of injury.
In the PCDS, the research teams have attempted to fill this gap by reconstructing pedestrian crashes, evaluating the chain of the events leading to the crash, and the etiology of injuries to specific body regions. Before discussing the major findings of this study, the limitations of the study methodology should be mentioned.
First, this study focused on passenger vehicles, LTVs, and vans. Pedestrians struck by other vehicles, such as buses and motorcycles, are not included. In 2001, more than 16% of all pedestrian’s fatalities in single vehicle crashes were related to the vehicles not considered in this study.22
Second, there were small numbers of pediatric cases in the PCDS. Several other studies evaluated pediatric driveway injuries in depth.23–26 However the issue of the mechanisms of child pedestrian collisions outside driveways has not been well evaluated. In a few hospital based studies, there was not enough information regarding the crash characteristics. In order to answer the critical questions regarding the differences in children injury profile among passenger vehicle, LTV and van-involved collisions, further studies with larger sample size are required. In spite of these limitations, the PCDS provides a solid opportunity for researchers to evaluate the effects of vehicle front end design on pedestrian injuries.
In the PCDS, the risk of pedestrian death for LTVs was 3.4 times that for passenger vehicles. Other studies evaluating pedestrian mortality in real world crashes with different classes of vehicles are scarce. However, in general the literature corroborates the findings of the current study. Lefler and Gabler in an analysis of three data sets (Fatality Analysis Reporting System, General Estimates System, and PCDS) reported that one fourth of the large van-pedestrian crashes, one out of seven sport utility vehicle-pedestrian crashes, and one out of 20 passenger vehicle-pedestrian crashes result in death.4,27 Analysis of 217 mortality cases in Seattle during a six year period showed that 48% of all the fatalities were related to passenger vehicles, 17% to LTVs, and 11% to vans. However in that study nothing was mentioned about the risk of pedestrian death based on the striking vehicle.28 Ballesteros et al evaluated 3368 pedestrian crashes in Maryland. They showed that mortality rate for sport utility vehicles was higher (24.1%) than for passenger vehicles (12.6%). They attributed this difference in mortality rate to higher speed limit in the area and larger mass of the sport utility vehicles.19 In our study, adding vehicle weight to the multivariate model showed that curb weight was not associated with risk of death and that adjustment for it did not change the risk of death for LTVs compared with passenger vehicles. Mizuno and Kajzar evaluated the effect of the vehicle weight on pedestrians’ outcome.20 They showed that the geometrical incompatibility of LTVs is the major cause of this higher mortality rate among pedestrians and not the vehicle weight. Risk of moderate injuries (ISS ⩾9) in adults was higher for LTVs (50%) than for passenger vehicles (40%) or vans (36%), even after adjustment for impact speed and pedestrians’ age. However in the Maryland study, adjustment for speed limit in the area of collision and for vehicle weight eliminated observed differences.19
Evaluation of the trajectory of the pedestrian crashes might explain the findings of these studies. In a frontal adult-vehicle collision, the vehicle bumper contacts the pedestrian, and the chain of other events mainly depends on the pedestrian’s height. In passenger vehicles, the bumper contacts the lower extremity below the center of gravity of the pedestrian. Consequently, the leading edge of the hood strikes the proximal lower limb or pelvis and finally the upper torso and head hit the top surface of the bonnet or windshield. After this “wrap and carry”, the pedestrian and vehicle travel at the same speed until the subsequent braking of the vehicle leads to forward movement of the pedestrian when the vehicle stops. Eventual contact of the pedestrian with the ground often produces further injuries. Taller vehicles like LTVs hit a pedestrian above his/her center of gravity. In this case, the pedestrian will not wrap around the vehicle, but will project forward, and it is more probable that he/she will be run over by the vehicle.11
The number of LTVs has increased considerably in most developed countries, especially in the United States.
Two thirds of the LTVs of the world are sold in the United States.
The change in vehicle fleet has been associated with significant changes in pedestrian injury profile.
Only real world crash studies, such as those in PCDS, are able to evaluate the dynamic nature of pedestrian injuries.
LTVs were associated with 3.0 times higher risk of severe injuries in comparison with passenger vehicles.
Risk of death in LTV-pedestrian collisions is 3.4 times that of passenger vehicle-pedestrian crashes.
Vehicle front end design, especially for LTVs, should be considered in future motor vehicle safety standards.
For children, because of their shorter stature, the chance of being hit above the center of gravity is higher. This can explain the higher proportion of children projected forward while struck by passenger vehicles (35%) and LTVs (90%) compared with adults hit by passenger vehicles (18%) and LTVs (53%) in front collisions (data not shown).
Evaluation of issues such as the effect of pedestrian’s body position before crash, pedestrian pre-crash movement, and vehicle-pedestrian interaction on the type and severity of injury need further study. However existing data are in support of the importance of technical tests to evaluate vehicle safety not only for passengers but also for pedestrians.29,30 Such technical tests should take into account the findings of real world crashes.
For pedestrians, the severity of the injury and the injury pattern varies dramatically with vehicle design. Our study shows that, after adjusting for impact speed and pedestrian age, the probability of death for pedestrians struck by LTVs was significantly higher than for those struck by passenger vehicles. Therefore, with the rapid increase in the number of different types of light truck vehicles, the threat to pedestrian safety is on the rise. These data suggest the need to consider vehicle front end design, especially for LTVs, in motor vehicle safety standards.
This study was funded in part by a grant from the Crash Injury Research and Engineering Network (CIREN) of the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA). The published material represents the position of the authors and not necessarily that of DOT/NHTSA.